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Posted: 2025-04-26 20:41:50 UTC
This article contains some claims that remain unverified. While much of the content may be accurate, exercise care when relying on this information.
This article contains some claims that remain unverified. While much of the content may be accurate, exercise care when relying on this information.
Status
Last Updated
2025-04-26 20:42:07 UTC
Verified By
Rollup News
Credit market stress is quietly expanding, with BBB-rated spreads widening, signaling rising funding costs and credit risk premiums. The pace of spread expansion is abnormal, occurring in the non-bank corporate credit market, indicating a silent credit contraction. The probability of a recession within a year has reached 60%, the highest since 2022, with the risk tripling in recent weeks. While not yet a liquidity crisis, several signals of a slowdown in the real economy are emerging.
Expansion of credit market stress
Rising funding costs and credit risk premiums
Increased recession probability
Slowdown in the real economy
Widening BBB-rated spreads
Increased recession probability
Slowdown in manufacturing
Weakening employment indicators