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Posted: 2025-05-12 11:21:33 UTC

This article contains some claims that are falsified. While not everything in the article is false, please proceed with extreme caution and verify any critical information independently.
This article contains some claims that are falsified. While not everything in the article is false, please proceed with extreme caution and verify any critical information independently.
Status
Last Updated
2025-05-12 11:21:47 UTC
Verified By
Rollup News
The US Treasury Yield Curve has steepened sharply, with the difference between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields being positive for over 6 months, a pattern historically associated with US economic recessions. Recession announcements by the NBER typically lag GDP data release by an average of 234 days.
US Treasury Yield Curve steepening
Historical correlation with US economic recessions
Lag in recession announcements by NBER
Potential US economic recession
Lag in official recession announcements